Wednesday, March 29, 2017

Will Schumer Filibuster?

It's a prfoundly stupid idea but then when has that ever lacked appeal for the Democrats?

Senate hearings on Supreme Court nominee Neil Gorsuch ended Thursday on a confrontational note, with the body’s top Democrat vowing a filibuster that could complicate Gorsuch’s expected confirmation and ultimately upend the traditional approach to approving justices.

Senate Minority Leader Charles E. Schumer (D-N.Y.) said he will vote no on President Trump’s nominee and asked other Democrats to join him in blocking an up-or-down vote on Gorsuch.

Under Senate rules, it requires 60 votes to overcome such an obstacle. Republicans eager to confirm Gorsuch before their Easter recess — and before the court concludes hearing the current term of cases next month — have only 52 senators.

Republicans have vowed Gorsuch will be confirmed even if it means overhauling the way justices have long been approved. Traditionally, senators can force the Senate to muster a supermajority just to bring up the nomination of a Supreme Court justice. If that is reached, the confirmation requires a simple majority.

In a speech on the Senate floor, Schumer said: “If this nominee cannot earn 60 votes — a bar met by each of President Obama’s nominees and George Bush’s last two nominees — the answer isn’t to change the rules. It’s to change the nominee.”

Okay so a few things are going on here.

First.  The Democrats had tried to get the Cucks to Cuck to an agreement like the Cucks always do.  "We will let Gorsuch sail through but we reserve the right to filibuster a replacement for  Kennedy"  or infinitely worse so far as they are concerned, "Ruth Bader Ginsberg."

And while the Cucks were happy to cuck as usual, it turned out that not enough of the GOP was willing to fold when the Democrats hold such an obviously weak hand.

Second.  Due to Ryan's spectacular fuck up, the Democrat base thinks they have the wind at their backs and are feeling certain they can magically get a supreme court justice of their liking on the bench, if they just believe strong enough and protest loudly enough.

Schumer is bluffing.  He has three paths to defeat and no path at all to a win.  The simplest path to a loss is if enough his Senators break ranks to avoid losing the filibuster now when it doesn't matter.  Or the GOP can simply over ride the filibuster and change the Senate rules, leaving President Trump completely free to appoint whoever he likes for as long as the GOP holds the Senate.   

And the final path to Schumers' defeat is Trump's own nuclear option.  A recess appointment to the Supreme Court.  True it's never been done but there has never a president like Trump before either.  In theory it is no different from any other judicial appointment.

My guess is that Schumer is trying to bluff the Gang of Idiots into making a suckers deal.  We'll see if he called that one right or not. 

1 comment:

bob kek mando ( Death To The Boor-geois, Keks To The Lol-etariat ) said...

well, it IS pretty tough to lose by betting on a previous lower bound of Republican stupidity being exceeded.